2020 Vice President Pick Odds

• Kamala Harris: +175 (36.36% implied probability)
• Amy Klobuchar: +400 (20%)
• Elizabeth Warren: +450 (18.18%)
• Gretchen Whitmer: +900 (10%)
• Stacey Abrams: +1000 (9.09%)
• Michelle Obama: +1000 (9.09%)
• Catherine Cortez Masto: +1600 (5.88%)
• Hillary Clinton: +2000 (4.76%)
• Tammy Duckworth: +3300 (2.94%)
• Val Demings: +3400 (2.94%)

Odds as of May 5 and via European sportsbook Betfair. If you’re new to betting, Kamala Harris’s +175 odds mean a $100 bet would net $175 if she’s the Democratic VP nominee. Note that implied probabilities in this piece do not add up to 100%, as they include the juice (or “tax”) the book adds.

Not much has changed in the Democratic vice presidential odds market since Joe Biden committed to picking a female running mate: Kamala Harris is still the favorite.

Since we started tracking this market on April 1, Harris’ odds have remained in the +150 to +188 range — her current +175 odds give her a 36.36% implied probability to be the Democratic VP candidate.

Meanwhile, Elizabeth Warren has seen her odds rise dramatically over the past three weeks, improving from a 9.09% implied probability (+1000 odds) to 18.18% (+450). The uptick could be a result of Biden’s recent reference to himself as a “transition candidate,” implying that he could serve only one term if elected, potentially positioning his VP pick as the party’s next frontrunner.

>> Interested in how the presidential betting market is taking shape? Check out our general election odds tracker.

Past Vice Presidential Odds Updates

Monday, April 13

Between Bernie Sanders dropping out of the race and Joe Biden’s pledge to pick a female running mate, women are dominating the top of the vice presidential odds board.

Kamala Harris has the best odds at +150, giving her a 40% implied probability of being Biden’s running mate.

According to the odds, three others have implied probabilities of higher than 10%: Michigan governor Gretchen Whitmer, Minnesota senator Amy Klobuchar and former Georgia gubernatorial candidate Stacey Abrams. Whitmer’s odds have risen from +1000 (9.09% implied probability) to +500 (16.67%) over the past two weeks with her national visibility growing as she battles her state’s coronavirus outbreak.

Wednesday, April 1

With Joe Biden — a heavy betting favorite to win the Democratic nomination with -714 odds (87.72% implied probability) — vowing to select a female running mate, international sportsbooks have set odds for their vice presidential nominee markets accordingly.

Kamala Harris, who endorsed Biden after dropping out of the 2020 race, is favored to be the Democratic VP pick with +188 odds (34.72% implied probability) at European sportsbook Betfair. The California senator is followed by Minnesota senator Amy Klobuchar at +300 odds (25%) then former Georgia gubernatorial candidate Stacey Abrams at +400 odds (20%).

At PointsBet Australia, odds to be the exact Democratic ticket further support that trio representing the top-three options. A Biden-Harris ticket has the best odds at +185 (35.09% implied probability), a Biden-Klobuchar ticket is listed at +340 odds (22.73%) and a Biden-Abrams ticket is available at +500 odds (16.67%).

It’s worth noting that there are more than 50 different potential Democratic VP nominees listed at BetFair — we highlighted only 11 with +3300 odds or better as of April 1 above — so we’ll continue to monitor the news and how it shifts this betting market in the coming weeks.