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Daily MLB Playoff Betting Model Projections: Game Odds, World Series Probabilities (Updated Oct. 17)

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Author: Sean Zerillo

Getty Images. Pictured: Carlos Correa, Blake Snell, Mookie Betts, Ronald Acuna

Last updated: Saturday, October 17

This postseason, I’m publishing my projections for every MLB game right here. I’ll also be updating my current series prices and World Series projections each morning.

I’ll follow up with written analysis later in the day, which you can find on our MLB page and on my Twitter.

Download the spreadsheet below to compare odds from your sportsbook to my projections to see if there’s an edge. My projections include moneylines totals and team totals, both full game, and First 5 innings.

You can also easily find my full-game projection edges by looking at the new MLB projections page.


MLB Game Probabilities, Projections: Oct. 17

Click here to access our brand-new live-updating projections page, which easily reveals and grades the biggest edges on today’s slate.

To download my traditional spreadsheet where you can plug in odds from your sportsbooks, click here.

Updated Championship Series Projections

Enter these probabilities into our betting odds calculator to determine fair series prices.

Updated World Series Probabilities

Updated at the conclusion of each round, and periodically throughout the LCS round. Click “play” for a time-lapse from the start of the regular season.

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Author: Sean Zerillo